| U.K. Retail Sales Unexpectedly Rise by Most on Record |
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Economists forecast a 0.1 percent drop, the median of 37 estimates in a
Bloomberg survey shows. Sales rose 8.1 percent on the year, the most
since 2002.
The
reading suggests rising food and energy costs and falling house prices
have yet to provoke a slowdown in consumer spending. Governor Mervyn
King said yesterday that policy makers won't flinch in their fight
against accelerating inflation, which will require British living
standards to slip and economic growth to weaken.
``This is off the scale,'' said Michael Taylor, an economist at Lombard Street Research Ltd. in
The pound rose as much as 0.4 percent against the dollar after the report, trading at $1.9710 as of 9:36 a.m. in
Consumers
bought more fresh food and summer fashions in May, when the temperature
averaged 12.1 degrees Celsius, the most recorded by the government's
meteorological service. Sales of textiles, clothing and footwear rose
9.2 percent on the month, the most since at least 1986.
Burberry Sales
Burberry
Group Plc, the 152-year-old British luxury label known for its
trademark plaid, said May 28 that its second half profit rose 15
percent after shoppers bought $2,195 Warrior bags.
The
Crude
oil prices surged to a record above $139 a barrel on June 16, and corn
climbed to a record near $8 a bushel. Energywatch, a consumer research
group, says gas prices for
Inflation Pressures
Some
retailers are already reporting faster price gains are pinching
purchases. J Sainsbury Plc, the country's third-biggest supermarket
chain, said yesterday first-quarter sales growth slowed as higher food
and energy bills cut spending on food and clothes. Chief Executive
Justin King said ``inflationary pressures'' will persist for another
six months to a year.
King
and Chief Economist Charles Bean said on May 14 that they are looking
more closely at surveys of retailers by the British Retail Consortium
and the Confederation of British Industry to gauge consumer spending.
They have shown more weakening than the official data.
The
statistics office said in a note published today that differences
between them are accounted for by growth in small and medium-sized
businesses, which are included within the government data and are
excluded from the BRC survey.
Policy
makers defeated David Blanchflower's call for a rate cut this month,
keeping the benchmark at 5 percent to guard against faster inflation.
Minutes of the decision, published yesterday, showed slower growth
``would be necessary to endure inflation returned to the 2 percent
target.''
Price Deflator
The
slowdown may still erode inflation pressures. The price deflator, a
measure of cost changes in shops, showed a 0.3 percent annual drop last
month, the statistics office said. That was the smallest decline since
June 2007.
The CBI, the nation's biggest business lobby, this week predicted that the
House
prices stayed close to their weakest since 1978 as the credit squeeze
prompted banks to approve fewer mortgages and raise rates for home
loans, the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors said June 10.
King told bankers in
``It
will not be an easy time, and I know that some families will find it
particularly difficult,'' King said. ``These changes to our spending
power and to the housing market are real shifts that, although not easy
to accept, we cannot side-step.'
Bloomberg
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